Haverfordwest County vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haverfordwest County v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Haverfordwest County vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Haverfordwest County 1-2 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont nicked a narrow win over Haverfordwest County 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Penybont made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Haverfordwest County had 53% of the ball to Penybont's 47%, shots finished 9-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?
Haverfordwest County 1-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 39%, draw 27%, Penybont 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.