Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.12/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/1.00
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Briton Ferry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.02.2025 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-3 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
11.01.2025 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-6 HT 1-2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
02.11.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry edged past Aberystwyth Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Briton Ferry led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 4.00 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Briton Ferry?

Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 29%, draw 26%, Briton Ferry 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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