Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
47%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 23% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Briton Ferry
4-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry cruised past Aberystwyth Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Briton Ferry had 52% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 48%, shots finished 21-12.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town?

Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 41%, draw 27%, Aberystwyth Town 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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