Connahs Quay 1-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 33% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.38/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
-9% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
06.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-3 HT 0-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
24.02.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
04.11.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-1 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
16.09.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay squeezed past Cardiff MU 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Connahs Quay made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?

Connahs Quay 1-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 39%, draw 28%, Cardiff MU 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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