Haverfordwest County 4-1 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.91
Over 2.5
36%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.9
No
65%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.46
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 39% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
48%
+15.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
52%
-15.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.9pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
2.13/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.04
+10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
14.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
01.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-2 HT 0-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.02.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
05.11.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
24.09.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
04.12.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 4-1 HT 3-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County ran out comfortable winners over Flint Town United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.17 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United?

Haverfordwest County 4-1 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 52%, draw 29%, Flint Town United 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
16:00 Barry Town vs The New Saints Analysis →
17:30 Newtown vs Bala Town Analysis →
17:30 Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
17:30 Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Analysis →
20:15 Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →