Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
3-2
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
5-1
HT 3-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
0-2
HT 0-1
Penybont
GAL
Penybont swept aside Caernarfon Town 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.83 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 26%, draw 28%, Penybont 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.