Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-2
HT 0-2
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
Cardiff MU nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cardiff MU found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff MU and 2.33 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?
Cardiff MU 2-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 32%, draw 29%, Connahs Quay 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.