Briton Ferry 2-3 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.01.2025 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-6 HT 1-2 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
02.11.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town squeezed past Briton Ferry 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Briton Ferry at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Briton Ferry had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 0.50 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town?

Briton Ferry 2-3 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 52%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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