The New Saints 3-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
6.94
2-3 Goals
34%
2.18
4-5 Goals
22%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.1pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
3.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/3.68
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Cardiff MU
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.11.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-3 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
12.10.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
13.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-5 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-6 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
06.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 8-0 HT 4-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints got the better of Cardiff MU 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.50 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?

The New Saints 3-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 16%, Cardiff MU 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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