The New Saints 3-0 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.23
2-3 Goals
43%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-19.1pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.46/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/4.18
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff MU
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-5 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-6 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
06.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 8-0 HT 4-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
22.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-5 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
25.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-1 HT 4-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
11.02.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-2 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
3-0
AWAY Cardiff MU
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff MU 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 72% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 28%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for The New Saints and 1.17 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?

The New Saints 3-0 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 61%, draw 19%, Cardiff MU 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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