Aberystwyth Town 0-3 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
60%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
15%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
60%
Away Win
75%
-15.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.77/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.17
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Penybont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
26.08.2024 Penybont Penybont 5-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
06.04.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
23.02.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
27.10.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
22.09.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
10.01.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont cruised past Aberystwyth Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 2.33 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Penybont?

Aberystwyth Town 0-3 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 18%, draw 22%, Penybont 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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