Haverfordwest County 0-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.47/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.69
-6% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +117%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
19.11.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
23.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
31.01.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
01.10.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.04.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Connahs Quay played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.50 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay?

Haverfordwest County 0-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 48%, draw 32%, Connahs Quay 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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