Caernarfon Town vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Newtown — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Newtown
GAL
Newtown squeezed past Caernarfon Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Caernarfon Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.00 for Newtown.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Newtown?
Caernarfon Town 1-2 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Newtown?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 50%, draw 24%, Newtown 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town) went the other way.