Flint Town United 2-2 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.17/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bala Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
02.12.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
12.11.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GALWK
17.09.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
08.04.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
11.03.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint Town United
2-2
AWAY Bala Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United and Bala Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flint Town United had 45% of the ball to Bala Town's 55%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Flint Town United and 1.67 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Bala Town?

Flint Town United 2-2 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 28%, draw 26%, Bala Town 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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