12/10/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Barry Town vs Briton Ferry Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
62%
24%
Draw
20%
30%
Away Win
17%
42%
Under 2.5
40%
58%
Over 2.5
60%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barry Town v Briton Ferry — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Barry Town
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Briton Ferry
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-25%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
388 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Barry Town vs Briton Ferry Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Barry Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Briton Ferry
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
10.03.2023
Briton Ferry
1-1
HT 0-1
Barry Town
GALFAW
1-1
HT 0-1
Barry Town
GALFAW
POST-MATCH
Barry Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Barry Town beat Briton Ferry 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Barry Town vs Briton Ferry?
Barry Town 3-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Briton Ferry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 46%, draw 24%, Briton Ferry 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Barry Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GAL
More Wales - Premier League
12 Oct 2024