Cardiff MU 1-3 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-9.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.48/0.95
+109% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 5.67
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
13.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-5 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-6 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
06.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 8-0 HT 4-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
22.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-5 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
25.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-1 HT 4-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
1-3
AWAY The New Saints
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints got the better of Cardiff MU 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 39% of the ball to The New Saints's 61%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cardiff MU and 5.67 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Cardiff MU 1-3 The New Saints in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 15%, draw 23%, The New Saints 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALWK More Wales - Welsh Cup
16 Nov 2024
17:00 Caersws vs Bangor 1876 Analysis →
17:00 Flint Town United vs Bala Town Analysis →
17:00 Trefelin vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Briton Ferry Analysis →
17:00 Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
17:00 Broughton vs Goytre Analysis →