Caersws 2-1 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.3pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bangor 1876
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-0 HT 0-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
10.02.2024 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 2-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws nicked a narrow win over Bangor 1876 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Caersws found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangor 1876 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Caersws and 1.00 for Bangor 1876.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Bangor 1876?

Caersws 2-1 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caersws 39%, draw 24%, Bangor 1876 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caersws), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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