Trefelin 1-2 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 16 Nov 2024

Trefelin
1-2 HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2024/2025

Trefelin vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-4.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 75%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.25/0.33
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Trefelin vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
25.09.2021 Trefelin Trefelin 0-4 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Trefelin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Connahs Quay?

Trefelin 1-2 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 17%, draw 17%, Connahs Quay 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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