Colwyn Bay 2-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.9pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruthin Town
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-6 HT 1-4 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
18.12.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
24.09.2021 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 5-1 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALWK
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay edged past Ruthin Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Colwyn Bay and 2.00 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin Town?

Colwyn Bay 2-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 63%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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