Liepaja 0-3 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 Aug 2025

Liepaja
0-3 HT 0-1
Super Nova
📅25/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2025

Liepaja vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
72%
-4.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.5pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liepaja v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.25
-18% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
23.6 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Liepaja vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.40 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-3 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.04.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-2 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.11.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 2-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 2-6 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET

Liepaja 0-3 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-3
AWAY Super Nova
2.37 xG 1.78
75% Ball Possession 25%
22 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
19 Corners 0
521 Passes 128
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
66 Box Touches 6
51 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Liepaja vs Super Nova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 3-0 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25 Aug 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Liepaja had 75% of the ball to Super Nova's 25%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.37 to 1.78.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Liepaja and 1.00 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Super Nova?

Liepaja 0-3 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 67%, draw 19%, Super Nova 13%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liepaja), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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