Super Nova vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Super Nova vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Super Nova
LET
0-2
HT 0-2
Liepaja
LET
2-1
HT 2-1
Super Nova
LET
2-6
HT 1-1
Liepaja
LET
2-2
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
Super Nova 1-3 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja saw off Super Nova 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Super Nova had 49% of the ball to Liepaja's 51%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.10 to 4.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Super Nova and 2.67 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Liepaja?
Super Nova 1-3 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 30%, draw 28%, Liepaja 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.