FK Tukums 2000 1-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.92
+14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
16.1 Crosses 23.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 228
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
15.09.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-3 HT 3-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.06.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
07.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
17.03.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
11.11.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.83 xG 1.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
307 Passes 147
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and FS Jelgava shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 64% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.83 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.33 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?

FK Tukums 2000 1-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 36%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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