FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-0
HT 1-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
FS Jelgava 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava edged past FK Tukums 2000 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FS Jelgava as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 61% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 39%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for FK Tukums 2000.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?
FS Jelgava 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 48%, draw 27%, FK Tukums 2000 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.