Metta / LU Riga 2-2 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.10
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
21.3 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.12 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
27.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
07.07.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-2 HT 2-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
16.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
03.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
29.09.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-2 HT 1-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2-2
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.07 xG 2.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
338 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 53% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.07 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.33 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Metta / LU Riga 2-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 34%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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