BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Metta / LU Riga — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Metta / LU Riga
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Metta / LU Riga
LET
BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Metta / LU Riga — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils and Metta / LU Riga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 36% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 64%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.23 to 0.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.00 for Metta / LU Riga.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga?
BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Metta / LU Riga?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 47%, draw 28%, Metta / LU Riga 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 went the other way.