Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metta / LU Riga v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Metta / LU Riga
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Metta / LU Riga
LET
3-2
HT 2-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
Metta / LU Riga 3-2 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Metta / LU Riga edged past BFC Daugavpils 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Metta / LU Riga made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 63% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 37%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.62 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.00 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Metta / LU Riga 3-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 34%, draw 28%, BFC Daugavpils 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.