Liepaja 0-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.7pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-12.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.62/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/0.70
-40% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +56%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
194 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.9
13.0 Crosses 31.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.68 xG 2.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
230 Passes 480
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
04.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.10 xG 2.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 558
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Liepaja 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Liepaja had 35% of the ball to Riga FC's 65%, shots finished 2-25, expected goals 0.10 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liepaja and 2.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Liepaja 0-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 16%, draw 25%, Riga FC 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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7 Jul 2024
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