Pumas UNAM 0-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.95
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.5
6+
12%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla The Market 21%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -23%
1.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.8 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Puebla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Puebla Puebla 1-3 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
18.09.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
11.02.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
23.09.2023 Puebla Puebla 0-2 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.03.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-4 HT 1-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
24.09.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-1 HT 2-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-0
AWAY Puebla
0.98 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
456 Passes 294
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Pumas UNAM vs Puebla
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pumas UNAM and Puebla played out a goalless draw. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.

Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.64, about 61% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Pumas UNAM had 59% of the ball to Puebla's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.49.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.17 for Puebla.

Pumas UNAM vs Puebla Result & Final Score

Pumas UNAM 0-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pumas UNAM vs Puebla Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 52%, draw 21%, Puebla 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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