Pumas UNAM vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-4
HT 1-2
Puebla
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM nicked a narrow win over Puebla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 72% of the ball to Puebla's 28%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.25 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pumas UNAM's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.33 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Puebla?
Pumas UNAM 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 49%, draw 25%, Puebla 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.