Pachuca 2-2 Toluca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 18 Sep 2024

Pachuca LLLDL→
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Toluca DLWWW→
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:53
Match Result
Home
37%
2.48
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.98
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.87
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.18
6+
6%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Pachuca v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pachuca The Market 40%
Signal
AWAY Toluca The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Pachuca vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Toluca
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 1.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-3 HT 1-3 Toluca Toluca MEK
03.09.2023 Toluca Toluca 5-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
20.02.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-2 HT 0-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
31.10.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 1-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
28.10.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-5 HT 0-4 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
28.08.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-4 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Pachuca 2-2 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2 - 2
AWAY Toluca
1.24 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
274 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Pachuca vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pachuca and Toluca couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Pachuca had 43% of the ball to Toluca's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.24 to 1.83.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pachuca and 2.17 for Toluca.

Pachuca vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Pachuca 2 - 2 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 37%, draw 27%, Toluca 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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