Club America 3-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.86/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.52
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.6 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.09 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
416 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas CONLK
03.03.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-5 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
21.08.2023 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
26.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
03.07.2022 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
23.01.2022 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-0
AWAY Atlas
1.30 xG 0.59
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
503 Passes 346
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America cruised past Atlas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Club America had 58% of the ball to Atlas's 42%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 1.17 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Club America vs Atlas?

Club America 3-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Club America 53%, draw 26%, Atlas 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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