Club America 2-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

Club America
2-1 HT 1-0
Atlas
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

Club America vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club America v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +147%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
– Crosses 12.3
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Club America vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.03 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
375 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-5 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
21.08.2023 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
26.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
03.07.2022 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
23.01.2022 Club America Club America 0-2 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
16.08.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
POST-MATCH Club America vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America edged past Atlas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Club America vs Atlas?

Club America 2-1 Atlas in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club America 41%, draw 26%, Atlas 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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