Atletico San Luis 3-1 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.16/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.08
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.4 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.09.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
19.03.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
27.07.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
25.04.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
22.08.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
3-1
AWAY Cruz Azul
2.73 xG 0.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 419
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis got the better of Cruz Azul 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 44% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.73 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.00 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?

Atletico San Luis 3-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 26%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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