Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
Queretaro 1-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro edged past Tigres UANL 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tigres UANL at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Queretaro had 25% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 75%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 1.51 to 1.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Queretaro and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?
Queretaro 1-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 23%, draw 20%, Tigres UANL 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5 went the other way.