Queretaro 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Jan 2024

Queretaro
1-1 HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.85
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
7%
7.27
X/2
14%
4.12
X/X
7%
4.42
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.66
2/X
11%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.14/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.00
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +57%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.5 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
17.04.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
31.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.04.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.08.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
05.04.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Queretaro 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.60 xG 2.38
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
179 Passes 522
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Queretaro had 30% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 70%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.60 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Queretaro and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?

Queretaro 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 34%, draw 23%, Tigres UANL 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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