Vikingur R. 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.38
Over Pick
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.97
2-3
37%
1.95
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
15%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur The Market 19%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.76/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
27.4 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 2-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.09.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
08.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
14.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
3-0
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.81 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
361 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. ran out comfortable winners over FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 56% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Vikingur R. 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 57%, draw 19%, FH Hafnarfjordur 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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