Operario PR vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Operario PR v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Operario PR vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Guarani FC
BR2
0-3
HT 0-1
Operario PR
BR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Operario PR
BR2
2-5
HT 1-3
Guarani FC
BR2
3-0
HT 3-0
Operario PR
BR2
Operario PR 1-0 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Guarani FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Operario PR had 43% of the ball to Guarani FC's 57%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.19 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Operario PR's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Operario PR and 2.00 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Operario PR vs Guarani FC?
Operario PR 1-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 41%, draw 29%, Guarani FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.