Guarani FC 0-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.18/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +122%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.2 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
07.06.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
25.08.2021 Guarani FC Guarani FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
02.06.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-5 HT 1-3 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
08.12.2020 Guarani FC Guarani FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.09.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 1-2 HT 1-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
0-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.42 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
359 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Guarani FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Guarani FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guarani FC had 56% of the ball to Operario PR's 44%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.42 to 0.71 — on chances, Guarani FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Guarani FC and 1.00 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Operario PR?

Guarani FC 0-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 42%, draw 29%, Operario PR 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guarani FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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