Amazonas 2-1 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
Crosses 16.7
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brusque
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2023 Brusque Brusque 1-0 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
2-1
AWAY Brusque
1.96 xG 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
363 Passes 372
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas squeezed past Brusque 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amazonas had 51% of the ball to Brusque's 49%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Amazonas's control.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Brusque?

Amazonas 2-1 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 44%, draw 29%, Brusque 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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