Ponte Preta 0-2 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
+34% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.9 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
0W-3D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
312 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
08.11.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
23.09.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BRK
17.09.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 2-2 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
09.08.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
03.11.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
0-2
AWAY America Mineiro
2.43 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
325 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro got the better of Ponte Preta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day America Mineiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 52% of the ball to America Mineiro's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.43 to 1.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ponte Preta.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.50 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro?

Ponte Preta 0-2 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 33%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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