Roskilde 1-3 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
33%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 70%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.20/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.43/0.80
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
25.10.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 2-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN1
27.09.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 1-2 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
1-3
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF saw off Roskilde 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Silkeborg IF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roskilde and 2.50 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Silkeborg IF?

Roskilde 1-3 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Silkeborg IF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 19%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Silkeborg IF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Silkeborg IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAK More Denmark - DBU Cup
25 Sep 2024
17:00 Middelfart vs Viborg Analysis →
17:00 Brabrand vs Randers FC Analysis →
17:00 Ishoj vs SonderjyskE Analysis →
18:00 VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus Analysis →
19:30 Holbaek vs Holstebro BK Analysis →
20:00 Fremad Amager vs FC Nordsjaelland Analysis →