Holbaek 2-1 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / +81%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Holstebro BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
16.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 2-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
09.05.2021 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 HT 1-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
31.10.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek squeezed past Holstebro BK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holbaek had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Holbaek and 0.25 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Holstebro BK?

Holbaek 2-1 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 43%, draw 24%, Holstebro BK 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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