25/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Over 2.5
★★
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
6%
24%
Draw
14%
62%
Away Win
80%
32%
Under 2.5
38%
68%
Over 2.5
62%
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
46%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VSK Arhus v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VSK Arhus
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
AGF Aarhus
EU Bookmakers 85%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
1.29/2.90
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.59/0.58
+56%
/
+5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
+47%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
5
286 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
606 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
45.0
–
Crosses
35.0
–
Yellow Cards
1.1
VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
VSK Arhus
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
AGF Aarhus
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
34%
Ball Possession
66%
6
Total Shots
27
2
Shots on Target
13
4
Corners
9
The Meetings
26.09.2019
VSK Arhus
1-1
HT 1-0
AGF Aarhus
DAK
1-1
HT 1-0
AGF Aarhus
DAK
VSK Arhus 0-2 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
VSK Arhus
0-2
AWAY
AGF Aarhus
4
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AGF Aarhus got the better of VSK Arhus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus?
VSK Arhus 0-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 14%, draw 24%, AGF Aarhus 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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DAK
More Denmark - DBU Cup
25 Sep 2024