Abha 2-3 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 25 Sep 2024

Abha
2-3 HT 0-1
Al Taawon
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Abha vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+11.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.09/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+39% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.6 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Abha vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2024 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
25.08.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
05.04.2023 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
21.12.2022 Abha Abha 4-3 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SAKK
11.10.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-3 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
19.03.2022 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD

Abha 2-3 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
2-3
AWAY Al Taawon
3.63 xG 1.98
26% Ball Possession 74%
20 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
193 Passes 795
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
47 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon squeezed past Abha 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Abha had 26% of the ball to Al Taawon's 74%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 3.63 to 1.98 — on chances, Abha could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Abha had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Abha and 1.33 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Taawon?

Abha 2-3 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Abha 29%, draw 26%, Al Taawon 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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