Renate 1-2 Ospitaletto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.63
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.99/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-2
AWAY Ospitaletto
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs Ospitaletto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ospitaletto nicked a narrow win over Renate 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ospitaletto found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 63% of the ball to Ospitaletto's 37%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Renate vs Ospitaletto?

Renate 1-2 Ospitaletto in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Ospitaletto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Renate 37%, draw 29%, Ospitaletto 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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