Arzignano Valchiampo 1-3 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.74
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.03/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.00
-16% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcione
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
05.10.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-3
AWAY Alcione
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione got the better of Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Alcione found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 58% of the ball to Alcione's 42%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.00 for Alcione.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Alcione?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-3 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 40%, draw 28%, Alcione 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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