GIANA Erminio 1-3 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
18.04.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
07.12.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.11.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 4-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
20.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-3
AWAY Virtus Verona
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona saw off GIANA Erminio 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 59% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 41%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.50 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

GIANA Erminio 1-3 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 42%, draw 27%, Virtus Verona 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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