GIANA Erminio 1-0 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.91
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
07.12.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.11.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 4-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
20.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
17.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-0
AWAY Virtus Verona
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio nicked a narrow win over Virtus Verona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 54% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 46%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.67 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

GIANA Erminio 1-0 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 39%, draw 27%, Virtus Verona 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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