Trento AC 1-2 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Trento AC Trento AC 2-2 HT 1-2 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
07.09.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-1 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
07.05.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 3-1 HT 2-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
13.01.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
10.09.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-2
AWAY Atalanta II
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II edged past Trento AC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Atalanta II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trento AC had 60% of the ball to Atalanta II's 40%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Trento AC and 1.40 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Atalanta II?

Trento AC 1-2 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 39%, draw 27%, Atalanta II 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5
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