Pineto 0-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.91
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pianese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Pianese Pianese 4-0 HT 2-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
29.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
0-1
AWAY Pianese
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese nicked a narrow win over Pineto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Pianese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pineto had 52% of the ball to Pianese's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pineto and 2.00 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Pianese?

Pineto 0-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pineto 39%, draw 25%, Pianese 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pineto)
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